What is US Municipal Infrastructure Debt?
US municipal bonds – a key source of funding for essential public projects
US municipal bonds, also known as muni bonds or munis, are bonds issued by US states, cities or local government bodies. They can take the form of general obligation (GO) bonds, funded via tax revenues, or revenue bonds, secured by an income stream from a specific local infrastructure asset. Historically, this has meant that default rates have been low, and risk adverse investors could consider investing in munis as a way to diversify corporate bond holdings.
The majority of municipal bonds are issued in a format that exempts the holder from US federal income tax, and potentially local state taxes – a significant benefit for many US domiciled citizens and corporates. However, there is a growing section of the municipal bond market that is issued in a fully taxable format – by issuing fully taxable debt, the issuer has greater flexibility on how they can use the proceeds. Taxable municipal bonds generally trade with a higher gross yield than their tax-exempt counterparts, and this has led to an increase in demand from non-US investors.
Today, the US municipal bond market supplies around 80% of the capital needed for US infrastructure maintenance and development[1]. Currently, there are 56,248 issuers in the market; this represents almost USD4 trillion in lending[2].
From an investment perspective, US municipal bonds are seen as a high-quality asset class. Individual US states that issue infrastructure-related bonds might be major economies in their own right, with levels of growth comparable to that of sovereign countries. For example, the gross domestic product of California alone is equivalent to that of the United Kingdom[3].
[1] Source: SIFMA as at 30 June 2021.
[2] Source: SIFMA as at 30 June 2021.
[3] Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and International Monetary Fund as at 31 December 2020.
US Municipal Bonds can offer:
What does US municipal infrastructure debt typically finance?
Why consider this asset class?
1. Better ratings quality and lower default rates relative to global corporate bonds, with recovery rates that are significantly above average for global corporate issuers.
The left-hand graph below shows the ratings of all US municipal bonds versus global corporate bonds, with ‘Aaa’ being the highest and C the lowest. As you can see, most US municipal bonds fall within the higher-quality end of the ratings scale.
Meanwhile, the right-hand table demonstrates the relatively lower defaults among US municipal bonds in relation to global corporate bonds. It also reveals that recovery rates for municipal bonds are higher than those of senior unsecured global corporate bonds. This means investors may have a better chance of getting some of their money back if a US municipal bond defaults
Sources: 1. Moody’s Investors Services as at 31 December 2020; 2. Source: Moody’s cumulative default rates by rating category, 1970-2020; 3. Moody’s Investors Service as at 30 September 2020, average corporate debt recovery rates for senior unsecured bonds 1970-202
2. Lower correlation to major asset classes
In this table, we show how the performance of the US municipal bond market compares to other types of fixed-income instruments. From January 1997 to September 2021, for every 1% of growth in the US municipal bond market, you would have achieved only 0.68% had the same amount been invested in investment-grade bonds or 0.52% from US Treasuries.
Source: Bloomberg, Barclays, Merrill Lynch as at 30 September 2021. *Correlation matrix based on total returns, since 1 January 1997
3. Potential to offer protection from US monetary tightening
We often hear the term “monetary tightening”. What this refers to is the process of raising interest rates. Central banks often do this to cool an overheating economy, as higher interest rates make borrowing more expensive. Higher interest rates can also make the interest paid out by some bonds look less appealing, as investors could potentially find higher rates elsewhere.
In the graph below, we show that despite increases in US interest rates, based on historical data, municipal bond performance (including reinvestment of income) were able to deliver positive returns. Investors may consider US municipal bonds in an adverse performance environment for fixed income.
Source: Municipal Market Data MMD, FRED, Bloomberg, firm data as at 30 June 2021. For illustrative purposes only.
Note: the bars labelled “1-5 yr”, “1-10 yr” and “3-15 yr” are representative of the returns of the “1-5 year”, “1-10 year” and “3-15 year” Bloomberg Barclays US Municipal Index respectively. The bars labelled “Muni” are representative of the Bloomberg Barclays US Municipa
Investment risks
- General obligation bonds risk — general obligation bonds are secured by the full faith, credit, and taxing power of the municipality issuing the obligation. As such, timely payments depend on the municipality’s credit quality, ability to raise tax revenues and ability to maintain an adequate tax base.
- Revenue bonds risk — revenue bonds with payments depend on the money earned by the particular facility or class of facilities, or the amount of revenues derived from another source. If the specified revenues do not materialize, then the bonds may not be repaid.
- Adverse economic, political or regulatory changes or adverse factors such as additional costs, competition, environmental concerns, taxes, and changes in end-user numbers in infrastructure sectors and projects can significantly affect the revenue generated and the overall market. This may lead to defaults on payment of principal or interest of the municipal bonds. The federal government of the US are not obliged to support any municipal bonds in default. The Fund could suffer substantial loss.
- There are specific risks associated with municipal bonds including different disclosure requirements, lesser degree of transparency compared to other bond markets. Municipal bonds may also be subject to call or prepayment risks. There are specific risks associated with certain municipal sectors that the fund may invest, including general obligation bonds risk, revenue bonds risk, private activity bonds risk, moral obligation bonds risk, municipal notes risk and municipal lease obligations risk.
- The Fund invests primarily in municipal bonds, which are issued by a state, municipality, not-for-profit corporate issuers of the United States of America (the US) to finance infrastructure sectors and projects conducted in the US.
- The Fund Investment portfolio may fall in value and there is no guarantee of the repayment of principal.
- Adverse economic, political or regulatory changes or adverse factors such as additional costs, competition, environmental concerns, taxes, and changes in end-user numbers in infrastructure sectors and projects can significantly affect the revenue generated and the overall market. This may lead to defaults on payment of principal or interest of the municipal bonds. The federal government of the US are not obliged to support any municipal bonds in default. The Fund could suffer substantial loss.
- There are specific risks associated with municipal bonds including different disclosure requirements, lesser degree of transparency compared to other bond markets. Municipal bonds may also be subject to call or prepayment risks. There are specific risks associated with certain municipal sectors that the fund may invest, including general obligation bonds risk, revenue bonds risk, private activity bonds risk, moral obligation bonds risk, municipal notes risk and municipal lease obligations risk.
- The Fund is exposed to risks associated with debt securities, including credit risk, interest rate and inflation risk, downgrading risk, credit rating risk and sub-investment grade debt securities risk.
- The Fund’s investments are concentrated in the US and may be more susceptible to adverse economic, political, policy, foreign exchange, liquidity, tax, legal or regulatory events affecting the United States.
- The Fund may pay dividends effectively out of capital which amounts to a return or withdrawal of part of an investor’s original investment or from any capital gains attributable to that original investment. Any such distributions may result in an immediate reduction of Net Asset Value per share.
- The Fund may invest in derivatives that are volatile, involve special risks such as risk of disproportionate loss due to leverage, counterparty/credit risk, liquidity risk and valuation risks.
- Investors should not rely solely on this document to make investment decisions. Please read the offering documents carefully for further details, including risk factors.
This document is for Professional Investors only. Not for further distribution.
This document is not intended as investment advice. This document must not be used for the purpose of an offer or solicitation in any jurisdiction or in any circumstances in which such offer or solicitation is unlawful or otherwise not permitted. This document should not be issued, circulated, distributed, published, reproduced or cause to be issued, circulated, distributed, published or reproduced (whether in whole or in part) to any other persons without the prior written consent of BNY Mellon Investment Management Hong Kong Limited.
Investment involves risk. Past performance information presented is not indicative of future performance. Investment returns may be exposed to exchange rate fluctuations. The value of investments may go down or up. This document has not been reviewed by the Securities and Futures Commission.
Information in this document is subject to change without notice. To the extent permitted by applicable laws, rules, codes and guidelines, BNY Mellon Investment Management Hong Kong Limited accepts no liability whatsoever whether direct or indirect that may arise from the use of or reliance on the information contained in this document.
The information has been provided without taking into account the investment objective, financial situation or needs of any particular person. To the extent permitted by applicable laws, rules, codes and guidelines, BNY Mellon Investment Management Hong Kong Limited and its affiliates are not responsible for any subsequent investment advice given based on the information supplied. You should not rely on this document alone to make investment decisions. If you are in any doubt about any of the contents of this document, you should obtain independent professional advice.
In Hong Kong, the issuer of this document is BNY Mellon Investment Management Hong Kong Limited, which is registered with the Securities and Futures Commission (Central Entity Number: AQI762).
BNY Mellon Investment Management Hong Kong Limited and any other BNY Mellon entity(ies) mentioned are ultimately owned by The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation. BNY Mellon is the corporate brand of The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation and its subsidiaries.
MC274-30-01-2024 (6M)